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Sotheby's London Contemporary Evening Sale falls short of low estimate

Sotheby's London Contemporary Evening Sale raised £36.9m at hammer on 15 October 2026, below its £39.5m low estimate, with six of 34 lots unsold and fees taking the total to £45.9m.

CultureAnalysisNaomi FeldmanPublished: 6 November 20264 min readSources 24
Sotheby's London Contemporary Evening Sale falls short of low estimate

Sale falls below low estimate

The Art Newspaper reported that the sale took place at Sotheby's New Bond Street rooms on Thursday 15 October 2026. An alarm briefly interrupted the start, and auctioneer Tom Eddison told the room: "Don't panic, it's okay."

Of the 34 lots offered after three were withdrawn, six went unsold. The sell-through rate was 82%, and about 30% of lots hammered above their presale low estimate. Including fees, the total reached £45.9m, slightly below the £47.6m total in October 2025.

Thomas Stauffer, president of the Swiss Art Market Association, told The Art Newspaper that collectors are "not willing to take big risks" and set limits "conservatively low." He said the results reflected the cautious mood in the contemporary art market, which was also visible at Frieze London.

De Kooning sets a European record

Willem de Kooning's 1977 Untitled was the top lot. Eddison opened the bidding at £7m, below the £8m presale low estimate. The guaranteed work hammered at £8.2m and sold for £9.8m with fees, a record for the artist at auction in Europe. The price was two and a half times what the work made at Sotheby's New York in 2015. Sale prices include fees; presale estimates do not.

Gerhard Richter's 1992 Abstraktes Bild sold for £5.4m, or £6.7m with fees, slightly below its £6m low estimate but above the £3.6m it made at Christie's London in 2011. Mark Rothko's 1969 Untitled sold for £3m, or £3.8m with fees, to an online bidder, meeting its low estimate.

Unsold works and a Kusama shortfall

A 2021 Yayoi Kusama sculpture, I Who Was Awestruck at the Shape of the Secret I Found in the Cosmos, hammered at £250,000. That was a quarter of its £1m presale low estimate. It sold for £320,000 with fees. Stauffer said the result "does not go down well in auction database history" and questioned the presale valuation.

Works by Lynette Yiadom-Boakye estimated at £600,000 to £900,000 went unsold. A Jadé Fadojutimi work estimated at £350,000 to £450,000 also went unsold. Stauffer called the unsold works "concerning" for the ultra-contemporary segment. "The price hikes have been proven to be unhealthy, and people are no longer willing to pay fantasy prices for young artists," he said.

David Hockney's iPad drawing Water Lilies in the Pond with Pots of Flowers made a hammer price of £1.5m, or £1.9m with fees, three times its £450,000 low estimate and a record for an iPad work by the artist. Michael Andrews' Butterfly Fish drew bids to £550,000 at hammer, nearly five times its £120,000 high estimate, and sold for £704,000 with fees, an artist record for a work on paper. George Baselitz's P.D. Idol sold for £1.9m, or £2.4m with fees, nearly double its £1m low estimate.

Sotheby's noted the result brought total auction sales across all categories at its London rooms in 2026 to $1bn. Modern and contemporary auctions generated £598m, or $793m, the highest year-to-date total since 2015.

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Sources

24
  1. 01Christie’s and Sotheby’s 2026 half year results: trophy lots and luxury goods fuel reboundEN
  2. 02Boom in tech wealth is fueling record prices for dinosaur bones, art and watches, auction houses sayEN
  3. 03London’s October Auction Results Suggest the Market Is Playing It SafeEN
  4. 04De Kooning sets European record but still falls flat at muted Sotheby’s Contemporary Evening SaleEN
  5. 05Sold-out auctions suggest Hong Kong’s art market is back. But is it? - SCMPEN
  6. 06Hong Kong autumn 2026 art auctions top HK$2 billion as Kusama works get a cool receptionEN
  7. 07New Collectors Seeking Old Stories About America Are Reshaping the Market for Western ArtEN
  8. 08You know the launch market is tough when satellite companies start building rocketsEN
  9. 09Investing in Prediction Markets Will Pay Off, DraftKings CEO SaysEN
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  13. 13The best Christmas gifts in the UK for dads, grandads, uncles and friends – tested for 2026EN
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  20. 20Aryna Sabalenka named world’s most marketable athlete in 2026EN
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All figures and quotations in this text come from the sources listed below.

Content prepared by the editorial team with AI assistance.

Naomi Feldman

Naomi Feldman

Culture, food and lifestyle

Naomi Feldman covers culture, food, fashion and design, lifestyle and history for FLASH24, working from primary sources such as archive records, exhibition catalogues and first-person interviews rather than press releases. For food and design stories she checks prices, opening hours and production figures against at least two independent sources before filing. She spends much of her week talking to chefs, curators and designers, and marks the festival and fashion-week calendars months ahead to compare how the same event is covered elsewhere. Outside the desk she runs festival marathons and spends time in independent cinemas and film archives, which shapes how she reads cultural programming and restoration work. She does not publish a review without having seen the film, eaten the food or walked the space herself.

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