经济学家估算：《GTA 6》发售日缺勤或令美国产出损失约10亿美元
据IBTimes报道，庞培法布拉大学经济学教授何塞·加西亚·蒙塔尔沃估算，2026年11月19日约150万美国劳动者为《侠盗猎车手6》请假不上班，可能造成约10亿美元的产出损失。
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据IBTimes报道，这一估算只覆盖一天，算法是把约150万人的缺勤乘以美国劳动者年均产出约7万美元。报告预计短期内生产率会下滑约2%。蒙塔尔沃的数字属于学术推演，不是官方预测；Comic Basics报道称，完整的研究方法并未公开。
IBTimes称，缺勤者大多是18至30岁的男性，科技岗位预计受冲击最重。Comic Basics报道说，部分版本的分析把年龄段扩大到35岁。IBTimes表示，即便照常打卡上班的员工也可能拖累效率，发售周的讨论和直播会让办公室里的人分心。
一些雇主已经在为这一天做安排。据IBTimes报道，加利福尼亚州汽车配件零售商Burger Motorsports向客户发布公告，称多名员工请假打游戏，从11月19日起发货和客服都会变慢。
Take-Two首席执行官斯特劳斯·泽尔尼克也直接谈到这个日期。据雅虎报道，他在拉斯维加斯的一场会议上说：“我想11月19日会有很多人打电话请病假。”
主导开发的Rockstar North工作室位于爱丁堡。IBTimes称，因此大部分收益将流向英国，而美国雇主则要承受这一天损失的产出。
发售背景
Newzoo预测，《侠盗猎车手6》在发售当周结束前将实现45亿美元销售额，按平均88美元的价格售出约5100万份。这是该公司在33亿至52亿美元区间内的核心估算；按最保守的估算，它预计销量约3700万份，并称这仍是“极为出色的成绩”。
Newzoo估算，6月最后一周全球数字预购额约为2.6亿美元，其中美国与五个欧洲市场合计1.8亿美元，并称这是其数据集中开局最强的预购活动。Rockstar已确认游戏将于2026年11月19日在PlayStation 5和Xbox Series X及S上以纯数字版发售。Polygon报道称，本作只有单人模式，尚未公布PC版。据GamesIndustry.biz报道，预购于6月底开启，标准版售价79.99美元，另有100美元的终极版在售。
Take-Two当时宣布，《侠盗猎车手5》2013年发售首日在全球收入超过8亿美元，三天内突破10亿美元。IBTimes称，一些报告发现，在洛杉矶和纽约等城市，18至35岁的劳动者中多达6%在发售日请假。
资料来源
34- 01GTA 6's Release Day Could Cost the US Economy Nearly $1 BillionEN
- 02GTA 6 Release Day Set To Cost America $1 Billion With 1.5 Million Workers Plotting a Mass Sick DayEN
- 03'GTA 6' could cause $1 billion sick day as 1.5 million estimated to skip work: reportsEN
- 04Newzoo: GTA 6 pre-orders generate estimated $260m globally during first week of campaignEN
- 05GTA 6 could break records with $5 billion first week, analysis showsEN
- 06GTA 6 Pre-Orders Make $260 Million, Launch Week Set For $5 Billion Says ReportEN
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